Ariel International Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AINTX Fund  USD 17.12  0.03  0.17%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.21, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Ariel International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ariel International is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ariel International Fund are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ariel International showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of February 2026
Expense Ratio1.1300
  

Ariel International Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,327  in Ariel International Fund on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  385.00  from holding Ariel International Fund or generate 29.01% return on investment over 90 days. Ariel International Fund is currently producing 0.443% returns and takes up 1.9592% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Ariel, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ariel International is expected to generate 2.63 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.63 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Ariel International Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
17.12
Please note that Ariel International's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Ariel International shows a prevailing Real Value of $18.08 per share. The current price of the fund is $17.12. We determine the value of Ariel International from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Ariel International is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ariel Mutual Fund. However, Ariel International's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.12 Real  18.08 Hype  17.12 Naive  17.14
The intrinsic value of Ariel International's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ariel International's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.08
Real Value
20.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ariel International Fund helps investors to forecast how Ariel mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ariel International more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ariel International's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0217.0521.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1517.1219.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.1617.1419.11
Details

Ariel International Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ariel Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.12 90 days 17.12 
about 14.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ariel International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.11 (This Ariel International Fund probability density function shows the probability of Ariel Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ariel International has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ariel International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ariel International Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ariel International Fund has an alpha of 0.4216, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ariel International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ariel International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ariel International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ariel International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1517.1219.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1118.0820.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1617.1419.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0217.0521.07
Details

Ariel International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ariel International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ariel International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ariel International Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ariel International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Ariel International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ariel International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ariel International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Ariel International Fundamentals Growth

Ariel Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ariel International, and Ariel International fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ariel Mutual Fund performance.

About Ariel International Performance

Evaluating Ariel International's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Ariel International has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ariel International has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in equity securities of foreign companies based in developed international markets. Ariel International is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Ariel International performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ariel International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Ariel International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.1% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Ariel International's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ariel International's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Ariel International's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ariel International's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ariel International's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ariel International's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ariel International's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ariel International's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Ariel International's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ariel International's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ariel International's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Ariel Mutual Fund

Ariel International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ariel Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ariel with respect to the benefits of owning Ariel International security.
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